Kevin Pollard
For as long as there have been movies, there have been movie stars. Every generation has them. A list of names that become synonymous with Hollywood royalty and the tinsel town ideal of celebrity. From the likes of Newman and Brando to Depp and Damon, this ever-circulating cast of A-listers has always represented the best that Hollywood has to offer. But is star power alone really enough to consistently bring in big box office numbers? Sixty years ago, the answer was “yes”, but today, the answer is “absolutely not”.
For as long as there have been movies, there have been movie stars. Every generation has them. A list of names that become synonymous with Hollywood royalty and the tinsel town ideal of celebrity. From the likes of Newman and Brando to Depp and Damon, this ever-circulating cast of A-listers has always represented the best that Hollywood has to offer. But is star power alone really enough to consistently bring in big box office numbers? Sixty years ago, the answer was “yes”, but today, the answer is “absolutely not”.
The early 1930’s was Hollywood’s “Golden Age”, where a big
name in a film would all but guarantee success in the box office. According to
an article from the “Chapman University Historical Review”, major studios recognized early on that “the bigger the star in a picture, the more likely it
would achieve greater returns at the box-office…” (Chapman University). A
huge reason for this is that, at this time, there were fewer stars, less-powerful
studios (other than MGM) and not nearly as many films being released each year.
This was also a time where if people wanted to see a movie, they had no choice
but to buy a ticket and watch it in the theater. Today, the film industry is
nearly the polar opposite; a large number of movie stars, incredibly powerful
studios, and hundreds of films being released each year.
According to a list compiled by Forbes, this year in
particular saw a huge number of flops from big names in Hollywood. Forbes
created this list by looking at the percentage of each films estimated budget
and seeing how much was earned back in theater revenue (Forbes). Some of the films included on this list are Rock the Kasbah (Bill Murray, $2.9 million
box office), Blackhat (Chris Hemsworth, $19.4 million box
office), Aloha (Bradley Cooper and Rachel
McAdams, $26.3 million box office) and Mortdecai
(Johnny Depp and Gwyneth Paltrow, $47.3 million box
office) (Forbes). These numbers show that even though a film may have a star-studded
cast, this won’t guarantee that the film will be successful. This marks not
only a shift in the way Hollywood picks what scripts to turn into films, but
also how box office revenue can be projected and managed.
The Hollywood Reporter
examined this large fluctuation between movies that did well in the box
office and those that did not. The article discusses how films with titles that
connected to large audiences (ex. Jurassic
World, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Avengers: Age of Ultron) saw some of
the highest box office numbers in history. On the other side of the spectrum,
films that flop are doing so harder than ever before. The article touches upon
how a few years ago, “a $15 million debut was considered poor for a major
studio film- but now, $5 million or less is possible” (Hollywood Reporter, New
Normal). Fox domestic distribution studio president Chris Aronson claims that
“there is no bottom anymore” (Hollywood Reporter, New Normal). This is a scary
reality for studio heads trying to compete in the cut-throat world of Hollywood.
Virtually no film can promise big box office numbers, creating a scenario where
studios must come up with new ways to select and market films they want to
release.
Another article from The
Hollywood Reporter highlighted some of the steps studios can take when
trying to market their upcoming projects. One strategy lies in the using social
media to create positive buzz around a movie. Imax Entertainment CEO Greg
Foster notes that “it’s less about television commercials and more about
shaping the social conversation”(Hollywood Reporter, 5 Lessons). Another
strategy the article mentions is the importance of knowing when to release
films to maximize viewership. In the example of Fifty Shades of Grey, one of the biggest questions surrounding this
project was whether or not the books immense audience would turn up at the
theater. Universal Studios made the brilliant decision to release the film on
Valentine’s Day weekend, trusting that the film would make for an excellent
date-night (Hollywood Reporter, 5 Lessons).

My
overall takeaway from this issue is really quite simple: spend more time
finding quality scripts and less time trying to create the next blockbuster. At
the end of the day, if a script is bad, the movie will usually be bad. Even the
best performers can’t make a filet mignon film out of a frozen burger patty
script. Studios should start with the story, a good story, and build a solid
cast around it. Films like this will most likely generate good social media
buzz, put people in the seats and get studios back to making profit.
References:
Works Cited:
McClintock,
Pamela. "Box Office: 5 Lessons for 2016 From Hollywood's Record Highs and Lows." The Hollywood
Reporter. The Hollywood Reporter, 6 Jan. 2016.
Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
McClintock,
Pamela. "Box Office's New Normal in 2015: "You Can't Cheat an Opening
Weekend Anymore"" The
Hollywood Reporter. The Hollywood Reporter, 17 Dec. 2015. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
Robehmed,
Natalie. "Hollywood's Biggest Turkeys Of 2015: The Films That Flopped." Forbes. Forbes
Magazine, 24 Nov. 2015. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
Rudolph,
Kalie. "The Golden Era of Hollywood: The Making of The Wizard of Oz and Gone With the Wind." Chapman University Historical Review 3.1 (2011): n. pag. Web.
Although I enjoy watching movies, I’ve never been a huge fan of movie theaters. When I see previews for the newest blockbusters I normally wait around for them to come to on-demand. For those few movies that I do see in theaters, I genuinely base it off the genre of the movie or the people I am going to see the movie with. Like you said, there used to be a time when you could only see a movie in theaters, now when I go to the movies it is usually with friends to see the newest chick flick like Fifty Shades of Grey or with a boyfriend to see the newest action movie like Star Wars: The Force Awakens. Since individuals have the choice to view the movie in theaters or at home, it is understandable that the box office numbers have dropped.
ReplyDeleteI can also see why there is difficulty is determining how much time, money, and effort to put into a film, which in the end might flop. Even a film with big names like Aloha was “noticeably under its estimated $37 million production budget” (Boardman). Although this may be the case, there is still the argument that if Aloha had no big named actors at all, it would have done even worse. I know that although the movie was not very good, I saw it twice. Once in theaters, and then once again on-demand. Even though it wasn’t a great movie, it had some of my favorite actors and was an easy-going romantic comedy. With movies like this, it is easy to target a specific audience such as females ages 20-50 and know that it can still do relatively well. In one of the previous blog posts one student talked about fandom. Fandom can transfer to movies as well, and provide movies with higher ratings because of the fans. Take for example the Entourage movie. This movie already had guaranteed success because of the number of fans of the show. So for big blockbusters like Entourage or the Twilight series, it is easy to predict the success of the movie.
The promotion and marketing of movies is another way to predict the success of a film. As you mentioned in your post, with social media there are so many different ways to promote a movie and create buzz. This really allows for the producers to start early and try gaining a large following before the movie is even out. One of the most current examples of the success of a marketing campaign is Deadpool. Fox saw a huge success in its marketing campaign after earning $132.4 million after its three-day Valentines Day opening weekend. There was a lot of time and effort put into promoting the film, which “is being given high marks for their provocative and irreverent campaign” (McClintock). This campaign was designed to go viral and reach a wide spread audience. With the success of this blockbuster, you can see the benefits of what a successful marketing campaign can do. Although I didn’t see the movie Deadpool, I did see the numerous commercials and promotions, which stuck with me. I’m sure there were numerous other movies playing in theaters at the same time, but the only one I knew of was Deadpool because of the campaign. I think that is more movies spend a lot of time, effort, and money of marketing campaigns, they would have more success in the box office.
Boardman, Madeline. "Biggest Box Office Flops of 2015." Entertainment Weekly. N.p., 2 Dec. 2015. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
McClintock, Pamela. "How 'Deadpool's' Marketing Won Over Fanboys (and Everyone Else)." The Hollywood Reporter. N.p., 17 Dec. 2015. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
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ReplyDeleteI love going to the movies, and I always will. I agree that for everyone A-list celebrities does not allows draw in enough people for a film. I know for me and some other people I know it can be enough. For example, Garry Marshall has directed the films Valentine’s Day, New Year’s Eve and now a new one coming out in April Mother’s Day. Each of these films has a huge line up of A-list celebrities in them and I saw/am going to see, each of them because of those A-listers. Valentine’s Day and New Year’s Eve were not at all the best movies made, but I am still going to go see Mother’s Day strictly for the cast, knowing that it will most likely not be a good film.
ReplyDeleteToday it is extremely difficult to make a successful film, if you are strictly talking about the amount of money a film makes as success. This year, “box-office revenue will hit a record $11 billion in North America on Tuesday, beating 2013’s $10.9 billion and up 6.3 percent from last year’s $10.35 billion. The milestone came down to the wire, and it wouldn’t have been happened without Disney and Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Force Awakens” (McClintock). Star Wars: The Force Awakens made $247,966,675 and Jurassic World made $208,806,2750 in just three days. In my opinion, it is hard to be considered a movie industry success if successful is “$1.16 billion worldwide” (McClintock). To me $26.3 million for Aloha staring Rachel McAdams and Bradely Cooper seems like a lot of money, but in the movie industry that is not successful (Forbes).
Something I thought was very interesting that Pamela McClintock’s article Box Office 2015: How Revenue (Narrowly) Hit a Record $11B in the U.S. said was “ ‘Going to the movies has become all about the social-media conversation. Creative remains key, but it’s less about television commercials and more about shaping the social conversation,’ says Imax Entertainment CEO Greg Foster” (McClintock). Before this class I never used to think about social media in a bigger sense, I just thought of it, as “oh I have to check my Instagram now to see new pictures *30 seconds later* I have to refresh maybe there is a new picture.” Now I look at social media in a bigger sense. Social media is a huge way to market and I agree that the social-media conversation has become very important.
The movie Deadpool did an amazing job on marketing. “Most everything about the Deadpool campaign was designed to go viral, including a billboard with a poop Emoji that, combined with a skill and an “L,” spelled out the character’s name. That and another mock billboard making Deadpool look like a Nicholas Sparks rom-com appeared in fewer than 10 locations, but were the talk of social media”(McClintock). I actually saw these adds all over Tumblr. When I first saw them I thought that they were so silly that they had to be fake, so I had to search to see if they were real and they were. They were all over Tumblr being reblogged for a very long time, with comments saying that Deadpool is killing it with their marketing. And Deadpool made $132,434,639 opening weekend.
Overall, I know I like to go to the movies for the A-list stars, but according to the numbers that is not always a good enough reason to get everyone going to the theater.
McClintock, Pamela. "Box Office: 5 Lessons for 2016 From Hollywood's Record Highs and Lows." The Hollywood Reporter. The Hollywood Reporter, 6 Jan. 2016. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
McClintock, Pamela. "How 'Deadpool's' Marketing Won Over Fanboys (and Everyone Else)." The Hollywood Reporter. N.p., 17 Dec. 2015. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
Robehmed, Natalie. "Hollywood's Biggest Turkeys Of 2015: The Films That Flopped."Forbes. Forbes Magazine, 24 Nov. 2015. Web. 21 Mar. 2016.
http://www.the-numbers.com/movie/records/Biggest-Opening-Weekend-at-the-Box-Office
I think you hit the nail right on the head. Since we are living in a world where there are so many forms of entertainment readily available to the public, it is no longer about just churning out movies. It’s about quality movies. Unfortunately, movie executive think this quality comes from the production budget. According to Bond from The Hollywood Reporter “This phenomenon, he says, is leading to an expanding supply of expensive films — he predicts 30 films will carry production budgets north of $100 million this year compared to 22 last year.” They are unfortunately mistaken. With television stepping up their game, even I find it better to sometimes just watch television shows than a movie. That’s because their writing is fantastic. Television writers also work within a different system than movie writer. Movie scripts are taken as they are and then reworked with the director, where as in television you have a head writer with a team of writers who constantly change. This allows for greater variations and vision within storylines. They also are paid less. Television also allows for a “long tail” for enjoyment. A movie will be done in 90-120 minutes where a television show will drag on for years. Allowing for multiple story lines and intense character development. It’s also right in your own home, which is what movie theaters keep trying to emulate. “J.J. Abrams is the latest Hollywood filmmaker to explain why he supports a controversial plan to make new feature films available in the home for $50 the same day they hit cinemas” (Ford McClintock.) However, while quality scripts are absolutely necessary there is also another reason for I think for lack of quality films.
ReplyDeleteAnother issue to look at is these movie stars contracts with the studios. A lot of times actors are obligated to contracts with movie studios to create a certain amount of films. These contracts usually include a time deadline or else the actors then in debt to the studios. So in desperate attempts to fulfill there contracts and get out, crappy films are made. With a system like this, this ultimately makes for a wave of weird flux of movies to come. It also breeds animosity with actors, who now won’t be giving their best performances because they are simply over worked. This can be seen with Chris Evans who famously has come out saying how he is over playing “Captain America” in the Avengers series, but is contracted to 6 movies. It’s a very tight line that we walk along trying to balance the needs of both movie studios, the public, and Hollywood actors. I absolutely agree the lack of better scripts is definitely a reason for this decline we see in movie theater sales. I also believe these bogus contracts actors are restricted to allow for terrible scripts to be perpetuated, which in turn creates terrible films.
Works Cited
Bond, Paul. “Hit-Driven Film business Getting ‘Very Ugly,’ Wall Street Analysts Says.” The Hollywood Reporter. March, 2016.
Ford McClintock, Rebecca Pamela. “J.J. Abrams – Proposed $50 Home Movie Service ‘Beneficial’ to Movie Theaters.” The Hollywood Reporter. March, 2016.